Race 8A

central-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lomax 27.2% 24.4% 19.8% 13.5% 8.3% 3.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Loftus 25.3% 24.8% 18.1% 13.7% 9.5% 5.0% 2.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Fraize 3.0% 3.3% 5.3% 7.6% 11.6% 14.7% 16.0% 15.0% 12.3% 7.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Drew Gallagher 16.4% 16.3% 17.8% 16.8% 14.1% 9.9% 5.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 14.0% 13.6% 15.2% 15.6% 15.8% 12.4% 7.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Smith 5.1% 4.9% 7.8% 9.5% 12.0% 14.6% 17.4% 11.5% 9.6% 5.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Daniel Sullivan 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 3.6% 6.8% 6.4% 9.1% 16.8% 15.4% 16.6% 13.7% 4.6%
Mitchell Nunn 1.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 4.6% 4.0% 7.7% 12.0% 14.6% 19.3% 16.6% 10.3% 3.7%
Evan Shone 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 1.7% 3.2% 3.7% 7.0% 9.2% 12.6% 20.3% 22.3% 15.3%
Frederick Piasecki 1.5% 3.0% 3.3% 3.8% 5.5% 7.2% 12.2% 15.7% 15.8% 14.1% 10.9% 4.6% 2.4%
Trevor Koerwer 3.9% 5.1% 6.7% 11.2% 11.3% 15.8% 13.8% 14.8% 8.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Amanda Nuse 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 3.6% 4.3% 7.2% 11.7% 16.0% 26.6% 25.0%
Taylor Niles 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 2.7% 3.5% 7.4% 12.3% 21.1% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.