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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.22vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.75+4.20vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.52+1.31vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.65vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.28+2.20vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.91vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.49-2.69vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.37-3.31vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.93+0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.21+0.21vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.16-2.58vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.46-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.3%1st Place
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2.22U. S. Naval Academy3.220.4%1st Place
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7.2Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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5.31Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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6.65SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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8.2Ocean County College0.280.0%1st Place
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6.09Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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5.69Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
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10.82Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Delaware-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.42Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.09Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 25.8% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 38.2% | 29.5% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| John Kirk | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Molman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 23.9% | 30.6% |
| Walker Schwartz | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 22.7% | 38.4% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 9.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 20.8% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.