Race 6B

central-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrew O'Brien 4.9% 6.6% 8.5% 8.8% 12.5% 12.0% 12.7% 12.6% 9.1% 6.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Peter Hogan 39.1% 27.5% 16.9% 8.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 25.1% 25.6% 19.0% 15.0% 6.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 2.8% 5.2% 5.9% 8.1% 11.7% 9.8% 11.9% 11.0% 13.6% 10.9% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
Bailey Cornog 5.4% 8.2% 12.0% 10.8% 12.4% 14.3% 10.1% 11.6% 7.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Hannah Schmidt 6.9% 9.1% 9.9% 14.6% 14.9% 12.7% 10.8% 9.0% 5.7% 3.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 3.9% 4.3% 5.7% 8.8% 7.3% 9.0% 12.1% 12.0% 13.6% 10.6% 8.9% 3.0% 0.8%
Caroline Garth 7.3% 7.7% 11.7% 12.0% 13.0% 14.5% 13.0% 9.6% 5.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Cathleen Murphy 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 3.4% 3.6% 4.8% 7.2% 12.0% 24.9% 36.4%
Haley Clemson 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 2.7% 4.4% 5.1% 5.4% 8.3% 10.8% 14.8% 19.0% 13.9% 9.7%
John Kirk 1.4% 1.8% 4.4% 5.1% 6.3% 8.1% 9.8% 11.0% 14.4% 14.0% 12.7% 7.9% 3.1%
Michael Molman 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 3.7% 3.3% 5.8% 9.7% 13.9% 22.9% 33.2%
Veronica Lane 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.1% 2.5% 4.3% 7.4% 9.3% 12.9% 17.8% 22.5% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.