← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.84vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.24vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University0.75+4.23vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College0.28+4.34vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-0.46+4.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.66vs Predicted
-
7Washington College1.52-1.73vs Predicted
-
8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.85vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University-0.16+0.33vs Predicted
-
10University of Delaware-1.05+1.00vs Predicted
-
11Villanova University1.37-5.51vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.05vs Predicted
-
13Rutgers University-0.93-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.3%1st Place
-
2.24U. S. Naval Academy3.220.4%1st Place
-
7.23Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
-
8.34Ocean County College0.280.0%1st Place
-
9.85Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
5.34University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
-
5.27Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
-
6.15Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.33Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
11.0University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
-
5.49Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.95SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
-
10.98Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 25.6% | 25.2% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 37.9% | 28.3% | 17.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| John Kirk | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 14.9% |
| Caroline Garth | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 10.1% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 23.1% | 34.7% |
| Bailey Cornog | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Michael Molman | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.