Race 8B

central-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Hogan 38.1% 26.9% 16.2% 11.5% 4.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 25.7% 26.8% 19.3% 12.8% 7.5% 4.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bailey Cornog 5.1% 6.1% 11.5% 12.3% 13.2% 13.1% 11.5% 11.1% 8.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 2.9% 2.8% 6.9% 7.4% 9.1% 11.8% 9.5% 13.3% 13.3% 10.2% 7.8% 3.9% 1.1%
Andrew O'Brien 4.8% 6.6% 9.3% 8.7% 11.4% 11.0% 12.0% 12.8% 10.6% 7.0% 4.5% 0.8% 0.5%
Caroline Garth 7.3% 9.2% 10.2% 14.5% 13.1% 12.4% 12.4% 8.0% 6.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 7.4% 10.0% 10.3% 12.9% 13.0% 13.0% 12.7% 9.2% 5.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 4.3% 4.0% 6.8% 8.5% 10.9% 13.1% 20.6% 15.4% 7.8%
Veronica Lane 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 3.9% 4.6% 5.1% 7.9% 12.4% 18.8% 20.9% 16.4%
Nicholas Manfredi 3.3% 5.9% 5.4% 7.0% 11.5% 12.7% 12.0% 12.5% 10.8% 9.4% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9%
John Kirk 1.8% 1.8% 4.6% 5.3% 6.5% 7.6% 9.6% 11.5% 13.6% 16.1% 10.3% 7.8% 3.5%
Cathleen Murphy 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 3.6% 5.8% 8.6% 12.5% 21.8% 38.4%
Michael Molman 0.6% 0.3% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 2.8% 6.0% 10.9% 13.5% 25.3% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.