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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+3.27vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+4.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.60+5.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.60+4.82vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.73+3.49vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.00+5.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.11+3.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62+0.85vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.53-0.05vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.05+0.78vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.64-2.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.76-3.76vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.93vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.78-5.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.02-7.91vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.29-5.89vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.00-5.95vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.97-10.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
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6.42Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont2.730.0%1st Place
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11.05Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.67Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.1%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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10.78Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.11Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.05Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 19.4% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.