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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.97+5.16vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+3.32vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+7.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.37vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.96+1.24vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.34+2.75vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.42+4.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.24+3.44vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.89+0.15vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21-2.81vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-7.36vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.51-5.93vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.85-8.14vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-3.10vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.19-7.84vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-1.93-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.32Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.75Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.75Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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12.44University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.19Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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12.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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16.8University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Filter | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| August Sturm | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 1.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 23.1% | 1.6% |
| Ed Lebens | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dawson | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 30.5% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 92.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.