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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.42+10.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.96+4.43vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+3.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.53vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.89+5.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26-0.37vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20-1.30vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.34+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.19+0.58vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.10-0.40vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.21-1.54vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.97-5.55vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-5.72vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.24-1.26vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.83-4.32vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-7.74vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.42-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.77Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.43Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.65Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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9.6Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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9.46Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.45Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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12.74University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Colbeth | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 6.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| August Sturm | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Tong | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Christian Filter | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 25.3% | 8.9% |
| Peter Girard | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 2.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.