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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Dartmouth College2.96+4.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+3.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.89+6.45vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+1.57vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21+3.11vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+2.65vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.24+3.34vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.26-4.32vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.10-1.41vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.34-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.19-3.60vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.20-8.21vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-5.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-9.52vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.42-4.87vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.42-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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10.45Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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6.57Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.11Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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12.34University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.59Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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8.99Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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12.13Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGraw | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| Christian Filter | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Stephen Duncan | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Girard | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 22.8% | 9.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| August Sturm | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 7.0% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.