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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+4.32vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.97+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+7.65vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.96+2.56vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.34+3.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.85+1.09vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.24vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20-3.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-3.35vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.21-1.80vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.89-1.43vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.10-3.38vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-6.71vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.19-5.47vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.24-3.48vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.42-4.89vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.42-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.31Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.64Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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5.62Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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9.2Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.62Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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12.52University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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12.11Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 2.8% |
| Jack McGraw | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Champa | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Michael Sabourin | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Stephen Duncan | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 24.3% | 8.4% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 6.8% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 73.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.