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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.19+8.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+8.53vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+3.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26+1.56vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.96+1.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.34+2.97vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20-1.31vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97-1.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-2.35vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.89-0.57vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.24+0.68vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.10-3.37vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-6.75vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-5.59vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-3.97vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.42-0.95vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.97Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.37Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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12.68University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.41Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.03Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Craig | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Peter Girard | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 2.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 24.8% | 10.6% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 7.0% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 73.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.