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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+6.32vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.73+6.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+3.48vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.88+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.64+3.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62+2.84vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.76+1.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.00+2.93vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.53-0.01vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-2.72vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.78-2.86vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.00-1.07vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.60-4.20vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.11-3.33vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-5.13vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.60-7.20vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.05-6.01vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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4.43Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.93Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
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10.93Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.67Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.87Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.99Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 17.9% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.