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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.20+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.26+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+1.97vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.74vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.58-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.07+3.03vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.58+0.24vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.70-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.19-3.16vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.41-2.96vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.09-0.92vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.21-3.54vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.27-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Jacksonville University1.2010.8%1st Place
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5.36University of South Florida1.2611.2%1st Place
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4.97University of South Florida1.0912.6%1st Place
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6.74Florida Institute of Technology0.736.9%1st Place
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4.29Jacksonville University1.5818.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Miami-0.072.9%1st Place
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7.24Rollins College0.586.2%1st Place
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6.51Jacksonville University0.707.0%1st Place
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5.84University of South Florida1.199.2%1st Place
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7.04Rollins College0.416.5%1st Place
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10.08Rollins College0.091.8%1st Place
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8.46University of Miami0.214.4%1st Place
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9.81Embry-Riddle University-0.272.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Penwarden | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Efe Guder | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Cole Schweda | 18.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver West | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 17.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Fiona Froelich | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 30.8% |
| David Webb | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 10.6% |
| Mason Howell | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.