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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.82+4.96vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.35+5.76vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.74+7.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+4.76vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39+5.30vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.43+0.81vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.62-1.13vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.91-3.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-1.32vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.10-2.29vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.65-1.26vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-7.11vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-4.83vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.74-8.45vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.66+0.03vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.66-6.40vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.76Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.18University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.3Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.0%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University2.100.0%1st Place
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10.74Harvard University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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16.03University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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11.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 12.2% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Rose | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| James Amaral | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 1.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Noah Simmons | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Victoria Marquez | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 3.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.7% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joanna Scuteri | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 77.1% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.1% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.