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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+5.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+3.71vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.65+7.47vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+4.48vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.74+5.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.05+3.23vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.66+3.50vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.82-1.88vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-2.97vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.62-3.22vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.35-2.96vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.10-3.15vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-1.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-4.07vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.43-7.38vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-4.47vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.66-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.71Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.47Harvard University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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10.04University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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6.12Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University2.100.0%1st Place
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11.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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16.12University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Marquez | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 2.9% |
| Connor Chung | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| James Amaral | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Colin Richards | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Rose | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 5.5% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 5.2% |
| Joanna Scuteri | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.