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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+4.76vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+9.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.82+3.18vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.10+4.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.43+2.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.910.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.66+2.30vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.74+1.42vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.62-3.25vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.65-0.35vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39-0.54vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-3.85vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.35-5.97vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.74-8.57vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-7.49vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.66-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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6.18Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.0Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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10.42University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.46Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.0%1st Place
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16.17University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 3.6% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| James Amaral | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 2.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Marquez | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 3.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 5.0% |
| Colin Richards | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Robert Rose | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Drake Lyon | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Chung | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Joanna Scuteri | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 8.2% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.