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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.62+5.71vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+5.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+2.87vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.37+3.84vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.82+1.09vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.16+2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.16+1.64vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.74-1.69vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+2.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-0.38vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+0.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.91-6.08vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.74-3.63vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-3.54vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.65-5.41vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.32-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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5.92Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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10.37University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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11.46Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University1.650.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Simmons | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Neal | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Sam Rush | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Drake Lyon | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 5.8% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Caso | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 4.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| James Amaral | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 6.5% |
| Victoria Marquez | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 4.0% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.