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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+5.27vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.16+6.54vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.37+4.79vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.05+5.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.16+3.39vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+0.03vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.82-0.81vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.91-2.17vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.62-1.89vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.43-2.52vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+0.06vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-3.07vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-2.38vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.65-4.49vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.32-0.23vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.74-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.62Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.51Harvard University1.650.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.31University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Peter Neal | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Colin Richards | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Sam Rush | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Caso | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 4.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 6.9% |
| Victoria Marquez | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 69.1% |
| James Amaral | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.