← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.82+4.97vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.74+4.28vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.91+2.84vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.91+1.91vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.05+3.85vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.43+1.78vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.16+1.63vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.58vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.37-1.05vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.39+1.45vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.62-4.94vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut-0.32+2.69vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.74-3.69vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.16-6.21vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University1.65-5.43vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-5.73vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.97Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.28Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
5.84Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
5.91Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.85University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
7.78Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
8.63Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
-
7.95Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
-
11.45Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.06Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
-
15.69University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
-
10.31University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
-
10.57Harvard University1.650.0%1st Place
-
11.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
-
11.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Richards | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Peter Neal | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 6.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 67.8% |
| James Amaral | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Sam Rush | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Victoria Marquez | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 4.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Caso | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.