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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.65+9.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.16+6.54vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.05+5.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+7.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+5.83vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39+5.70vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.82-0.82vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.62-1.19vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-3.04vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.74-3.70vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.43-3.19vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.91-7.13vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.37-6.09vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.74-4.62vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-6.26vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.16-8.36vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.32-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.34Harvard University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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11.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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10.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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11.7Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.18Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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5.96Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.38University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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15.76University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Marquez | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Sam Rush | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Colin Richards | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Caso | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 7.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.7% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Neal | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| James Amaral | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 10.3% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.