Race 6A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Fiona Froelich 6.8% 7.8% 8.8% 9.7% 8.3% 8.6% 8.6% 9.3% 9.2% 8.5% 8.1% 4.5% 1.7%
Emma Shakespeare 13.4% 12.3% 10.9% 11.5% 10.5% 9.8% 7.6% 7.4% 6.2% 4.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Brendan Smucker 6.7% 7.3% 8.5% 8.7% 9.4% 8.4% 9.2% 9.1% 9.0% 8.1% 7.5% 5.7% 2.4%
Humberto Porrata 9.4% 9.8% 10.5% 9.8% 9.2% 9.3% 9.8% 9.2% 8.3% 6.1% 4.9% 2.8% 0.9%
Brent Penwarden 10.3% 11.3% 9.7% 9.6% 11.4% 9.0% 9.1% 8.7% 8.0% 5.2% 3.9% 3.1% 0.8%
Efe Guder 11.6% 11.2% 11.8% 10.5% 10.2% 10.7% 9.0% 8.1% 7.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
Oliver West 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 4.3% 4.1% 5.0% 5.9% 6.0% 8.1% 10.3% 13.6% 14.6% 17.1%
Hilton Kamps 7.8% 6.8% 7.4% 7.3% 7.7% 9.0% 9.1% 9.6% 8.8% 9.8% 7.7% 5.8% 3.1%
Mason Howell 2.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 4.0% 4.4% 5.7% 5.9% 9.8% 13.3% 18.6% 25.6%
David Webb 2.9% 4.2% 4.1% 5.7% 4.9% 6.7% 6.9% 8.0% 8.8% 10.5% 11.7% 13.6% 12.0%
Jackson McGeough 1.9% 2.5% 1.9% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 8.3% 12.2% 19.6% 30.9%
Shay Bridge 6.2% 5.9% 6.6% 7.2% 7.6% 6.8% 8.6% 8.3% 9.7% 11.2% 8.6% 8.7% 4.5%
Cole Schweda 17.5% 14.5% 13.4% 10.9% 11.0% 10.1% 7.5% 5.8% 4.5% 2.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.