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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+5.29vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.74+8.15vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+4.59vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.05+3.88vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.82+0.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+4.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.55vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-2.99vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.37-2.33vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.28vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.65-1.51vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-1.39vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.16-5.24vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.16-6.37vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.62-9.04vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.32-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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10.15University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.38Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.61Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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15.79University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Neal | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Brego | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 5.0% |
| Victoria Marquez | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 8.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sam Rush | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Noah Simmons | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Enoc Escobar | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 10.5% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.