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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+3.27vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+4.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.76+5.21vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.78+4.25vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+5.02vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.73+2.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.60+1.87vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97-0.74vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.53+0.02vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.11+0.76vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.00+0.01vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.64-3.34vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-5.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-5.41vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.00-3.99vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-8.67vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.05-6.05vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.60-9.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
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6.43Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont2.780.0%1st Place
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10.02Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.76Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.01Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.1%1st Place
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11.01Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.95Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 20.2% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.