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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+4.78vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+3.08vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.20+2.65vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.42vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.09+5.15vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.26-0.70vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.70-0.42vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.58-3.56vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.21-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.07-1.13vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.58-3.69vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-4.97vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.27-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78University of South Florida1.199.7%1st Place
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5.08University of South Florida1.0912.8%1st Place
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5.65Jacksonville University1.2010.4%1st Place
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6.42Florida Institute of Technology0.738.3%1st Place
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10.15Rollins College0.092.2%1st Place
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5.3University of South Florida1.2611.8%1st Place
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6.58Jacksonville University0.706.2%1st Place
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4.44Jacksonville University1.5816.8%1st Place
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8.54University of Miami0.213.5%1st Place
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8.87University of Miami-0.073.5%1st Place
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7.31Rollins College0.585.9%1st Place
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7.03Rollins College0.416.7%1st Place
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9.84Embry-Riddle University-0.272.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 31.7% |
| Efe Guder | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Fiona Froelich | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| David Webb | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.2% |
| Oliver West | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 15.8% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Mason Howell | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.