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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+4.87vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.58+2.44vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.20+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.26+0.28vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.07+1.97vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.70-1.49vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41-2.07vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.21-1.44vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.42vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.27-2.25vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.09-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87University of South Florida1.1910.4%1st Place
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4.44Jacksonville University1.5816.2%1st Place
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5.73Jacksonville University1.209.6%1st Place
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4.97University of South Florida1.0913.4%1st Place
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5.28University of South Florida1.2611.7%1st Place
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7.31Rollins College0.585.6%1st Place
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8.97University of Miami-0.073.4%1st Place
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6.51Jacksonville University0.708.0%1st Place
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6.93Rollins College0.417.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Miami0.213.5%1st Place
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6.58Florida Institute of Technology0.736.6%1st Place
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9.75Embry-Riddle University-0.272.5%1st Place
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10.09Rollins College0.092.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 13.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Efe Guder | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Oliver West | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 15.3% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| David Webb | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Mason Howell | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 25.7% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.