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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.42+1.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.50+0.83vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.91-0.48vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Northeastern University1.420.2%1st Place
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2.83Tufts University1.500.2%1st Place
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3.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Rhode Island0.910.1%1st Place
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2.45Salve Regina University1.820.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Kirkman | 21.1% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 21.3% | 23.1% | 21.5% | 19.5% | 14.6% |
| Emily Casella | 14.9% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 22.3% | 25.9% |
| Ryan Walker | 12.1% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 23.4% | 32.8% |
| Grace Vincens | 30.6% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.