← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.88+3.24vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.21+4.47vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.11+7.64vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62+4.87vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.60+3.82vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.76+2.26vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.64+1.76vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.29+1.90vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.53+0.02vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.97-2.56vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.000.00vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.73-3.64vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.00-2.00vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.78-5.93vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.60-6.18vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-8.17vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island3.02-9.64vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University2.05-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.24Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
-
6.47Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.64Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
-
8.82Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.26Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.76University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.9Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.02Roger Williams University2.530.0%1st Place
-
7.44Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
11.0Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
-
8.36University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
-
11.0Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
-
8.07University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
-
8.82Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.36University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
10.96Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 20.3% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.