Race 9A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kay Brunsvold 14.4% 14.5% 13.4% 11.6% 11.3% 9.3% 8.3% 6.0% 5.1% 3.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1%
David Webb 4.0% 3.5% 4.8% 5.3% 5.1% 5.9% 5.5% 7.0% 9.2% 11.4% 12.3% 15.1% 10.8%
Efe Guder 10.7% 11.8% 12.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.0% 7.8% 8.5% 7.0% 6.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6%
Brent Penwarden 10.2% 9.2% 9.3% 9.8% 10.7% 9.0% 10.1% 8.3% 7.6% 6.9% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
Cole Schweda 16.2% 14.2% 13.4% 11.8% 10.9% 8.6% 8.3% 5.8% 5.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Fiona Froelich 7.3% 8.1% 6.7% 8.8% 8.5% 7.9% 8.2% 9.8% 10.5% 9.3% 7.0% 5.1% 2.8%
Humberto Porrata 9.4% 9.2% 9.3% 9.7% 10.3% 9.7% 10.4% 9.5% 7.1% 6.5% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8%
Shay Bridge 5.6% 6.6% 6.7% 8.3% 6.8% 8.5% 7.8% 9.5% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 7.5% 4.5%
Hilton Kamps 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.4% 7.4% 9.2% 9.6% 8.9% 9.2% 9.7% 9.1% 6.3% 3.4%
Oliver West 3.9% 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 4.5% 5.9% 7.2% 8.2% 10.1% 12.1% 16.4% 15.2%
Brendan Smucker 7.3% 7.2% 8.1% 7.7% 7.0% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 9.0% 8.7% 8.6% 5.8% 2.4%
Jackson McGeough 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 2.7% 4.0% 3.5% 4.8% 6.2% 8.0% 11.0% 17.4% 33.1%
Mason Howell 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 4.9% 6.8% 8.0% 11.3% 18.4% 25.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.