Race 1A

north-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Greiner Hobbs 47.1% 26.3% 15.6% 6.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Lawless 5.0% 10.7% 13.0% 14.3% 16.2% 13.1% 13.2% 7.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alecsander Tayler 21.9% 22.7% 20.0% 16.9% 8.9% 6.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 8.6% 14.7% 16.4% 18.2% 15.3% 11.9% 8.6% 3.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Zane Tinnell 2.3% 4.4% 6.4% 7.3% 10.2% 11.7% 14.4% 14.7% 15.2% 10.5% 2.8% 0.1%
Matti Muru 5.1% 6.7% 9.5% 11.6% 13.8% 14.6% 15.0% 11.8% 7.2% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 4.6% 5.8% 8.2% 10.8% 12.1% 15.5% 11.6% 15.0% 9.1% 5.6% 1.7% 0.0%
Tyler Rochon 1.9% 3.7% 4.1% 4.8% 8.0% 9.7% 11.7% 15.1% 17.9% 16.9% 6.2% 0.0%
Rory Mess 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 4.0% 6.9% 9.0% 11.3% 15.0% 19.1% 21.4% 6.6% 0.2%
Zachary Warner 1.2% 2.5% 3.1% 4.4% 4.9% 5.4% 9.5% 13.2% 17.3% 26.5% 11.6% 0.4%
Jennifer Suter 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 3.5% 6.4% 11.1% 65.3% 6.7%
Matthew Nelson 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 5.2% 92.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.