Race 2A

north-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alecsander Tayler 19.7% 25.4% 21.0% 15.4% 10.4% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
John Lawless 5.2% 10.4% 12.7% 14.2% 14.7% 14.6% 13.3% 8.6% 4.0% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Greiner Hobbs 48.3% 25.5% 15.5% 6.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 8.4% 14.7% 16.0% 17.0% 16.2% 11.1% 9.2% 4.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Matti Muru 5.0% 6.8% 9.5% 11.4% 15.2% 13.6% 13.1% 11.4% 9.6% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Tyler Rochon 2.0% 1.9% 4.4% 6.1% 6.7% 9.6% 12.0% 15.9% 17.0% 18.2% 5.9% 0.3%
Rory Mess 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 5.4% 9.9% 9.7% 14.3% 19.0% 21.1% 7.7% 0.3%
Zachary Warner 0.8% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 5.9% 7.8% 8.0% 11.9% 17.6% 26.1% 12.1% 0.4%
Adam DeVita 4.3% 4.4% 8.9% 11.8% 12.1% 15.6% 15.7% 12.3% 9.4% 4.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Zane Tinnell 3.6% 4.9% 5.0% 8.4% 9.1% 10.7% 14.5% 16.9% 15.2% 9.3% 2.3% 0.1%
Jennifer Suter 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 3.2% 5.5% 12.6% 65.1% 6.4%
Matthew Nelson 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 5.0% 92.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.