Race 4A

north-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Greiner Hobbs 45.9% 28.0% 15.0% 6.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 9.0% 13.8% 18.1% 15.6% 14.3% 13.4% 8.3% 5.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Alecsander Tayler 22.0% 21.9% 21.4% 15.2% 10.6% 5.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matti Muru 3.6% 7.2% 8.8% 13.4% 14.4% 13.4% 14.7% 12.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Rory Mess 1.5% 2.4% 3.4% 4.4% 6.3% 7.2% 11.1% 13.1% 17.0% 21.9% 9.9% 1.8%
Adam DeVita 4.0% 6.2% 7.1% 10.5% 10.7% 15.1% 14.6% 12.8% 11.3% 6.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Zane Tinnell 3.5% 4.1% 5.7% 8.1% 9.8% 11.6% 14.2% 16.0% 14.5% 8.6% 3.3% 0.6%
Tyler Rochon 2.0% 3.8% 3.5% 5.7% 6.8% 9.5% 12.3% 13.2% 18.4% 16.0% 7.5% 1.3%
John Lawless 6.5% 9.2% 13.1% 15.0% 17.7% 14.3% 10.4% 8.0% 4.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Warner 1.3% 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 4.6% 6.3% 8.8% 12.6% 18.6% 22.1% 13.3% 2.8%
Christian Langalis 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.9% 2.9% 7.0% 23.4% 60.8%
Jennifer Suter 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 3.6% 5.0% 11.9% 39.8% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.