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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+10.53vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+4.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+2.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.30+5.28vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.19+4.56vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.00+4.40vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.03-0.01vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-1.66vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.87-1.95vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.59-1.59vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.03-4.66vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-2.21vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.14-3.06vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.00-3.06vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.62+0.60vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.40-3.48vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-8.80vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.79-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.882.6%1st Place
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6.56Boston College2.0910.7%1st Place
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5.65Brown University2.2812.2%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island1.304.4%1st Place
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9.56Yale University1.194.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University1.004.2%1st Place
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6.99Brown University2.038.0%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University2.0910.2%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University1.877.4%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University1.595.8%1st Place
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6.34Yale University2.0310.5%1st Place
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9.79Bowdoin College1.514.2%1st Place
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9.94Dartmouth College1.143.6%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College1.002.8%1st Place
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15.6University of Vermont-0.620.6%1st Place
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12.52Boston University0.402.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.3%1st Place
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15.9Salve Regina University-0.790.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Stapleton | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Elle Sykes | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Martins Atilla | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Posner | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carly Kieding | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| William Hurd | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Begin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 25.1% | 36.4% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 6.3% |
| William Kulas | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 22.6% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.