Race 10A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 17.1% 13.5% 13.8% 11.9% 12.2% 8.2% 8.1% 6.2% 4.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Hilton Kamps 5.5% 7.1% 7.4% 7.2% 7.9% 8.2% 9.6% 10.6% 10.8% 9.6% 8.6% 6.0% 1.5%
Fiona Froelich 6.7% 8.5% 7.7% 9.3% 8.2% 8.5% 9.3% 9.8% 9.5% 9.1% 6.9% 5.5% 1.1%
Efe Guder 12.6% 11.3% 10.8% 11.2% 10.0% 10.8% 9.0% 8.2% 6.2% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Shay Bridge 5.1% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 8.7% 7.5% 8.3% 9.7% 10.6% 11.3% 9.8% 7.4% 2.6%
Brendan Smucker 7.8% 7.2% 9.1% 8.5% 7.7% 10.2% 9.2% 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7%
Kay Brunsvold 16.4% 14.8% 12.9% 12.3% 10.7% 8.1% 7.3% 6.9% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Brent Penwarden 10.1% 9.7% 10.2% 9.5% 11.2% 9.2% 9.7% 8.3% 7.6% 6.5% 4.8% 2.6% 0.8%
David Webb 4.4% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 7.1% 6.5% 8.3% 9.3% 11.2% 13.4% 13.0% 8.9%
Jackson McGeough 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.1% 3.7% 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.9% 9.3% 13.9% 21.6% 23.5%
Humberto Porrata 8.8% 10.8% 10.7% 11.6% 8.5% 9.8% 9.0% 8.4% 8.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0%
Oliver West 2.9% 3.9% 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 6.6% 6.5% 6.6% 8.4% 11.4% 14.5% 16.2% 11.6%
Suhas Medidi 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 4.8% 10.9% 18.4% 46.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.