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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+3.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+4.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.76+5.20vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.64+4.82vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.53+4.12vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.73+1.45vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.11+2.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-2.73vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.00-0.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.60-3.22vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.29-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.78-6.01vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.00-4.02vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.05-5.06vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.60-8.22vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.53Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
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10.55Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.98Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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8.78Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.94Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
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10.98Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.94Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.78Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 19.7% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 19.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 19.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.