Race 6A

north-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alecsander Tayler 19.3% 24.3% 22.5% 15.6% 9.1% 5.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Greiner Hobbs 46.0% 29.6% 13.3% 6.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Kelter 10.9% 13.3% 16.1% 15.6% 15.0% 13.9% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
John Lawless 5.3% 9.3% 12.4% 16.0% 15.5% 14.2% 11.3% 8.1% 5.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Matti Muru 5.2% 6.5% 9.3% 12.7% 13.5% 14.1% 13.8% 10.3% 9.3% 4.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Zane Tinnell 2.7% 3.9% 6.0% 7.7% 11.1% 10.2% 14.3% 15.9% 13.2% 11.7% 3.1% 0.2%
Zachary Warner 1.8% 1.8% 3.4% 4.4% 3.9% 6.6% 10.2% 11.7% 16.7% 24.3% 11.5% 3.7%
Adam DeVita 4.6% 6.5% 7.9% 10.9% 12.7% 12.7% 12.6% 15.6% 8.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Tyler Rochon 2.0% 1.6% 4.1% 5.0% 7.5% 11.7% 13.1% 14.8% 17.0% 16.2% 6.7% 0.3%
Rory Mess 1.2% 2.7% 4.1% 3.8% 6.3% 8.1% 9.9% 13.4% 18.5% 20.1% 10.3% 1.6%
Jennifer Suter 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 3.3% 5.6% 10.3% 39.2% 34.6%
Christian Langalis 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 3.5% 4.8% 25.9% 59.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.