Race 1B

north-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Clark Uhl 21.0% 20.8% 23.7% 17.9% 9.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Miller 34.3% 27.5% 19.2% 11.9% 5.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Montagnese 4.5% 5.8% 7.9% 11.6% 12.7% 19.5% 17.1% 12.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 22.6% 23.8% 19.8% 16.7% 10.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Sanders 0.6% 1.7% 1.5% 2.6% 5.0% 7.1% 11.5% 13.7% 18.1% 20.6% 13.2% 4.4%
Sean Kilcullen 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 2.0% 4.7% 4.6% 7.0% 11.4% 16.8% 23.0% 20.5% 7.6%
Alex Dzinbal 5.8% 6.3% 10.4% 12.8% 17.3% 18.7% 13.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Arthur Libby 6.5% 9.2% 11.0% 14.1% 18.8% 16.5% 12.5% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Bryn Clark 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 4.3% 7.1% 11.2% 14.2% 18.9% 19.1% 13.6% 6.0% 0.8%
Nicholas Houchois 1.4% 1.6% 3.2% 4.9% 6.9% 9.5% 16.2% 17.2% 19.4% 13.6% 4.6% 1.5%
Emily Hann 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 2.3% 6.0% 7.6% 12.8% 31.2% 35.6%
Matthew Morris 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 5.4% 11.2% 23.8% 50.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.