Race 2B

north-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Miller 33.8% 27.8% 21.4% 10.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clark Uhl 21.7% 23.8% 21.3% 15.2% 10.1% 6.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 23.4% 23.2% 19.8% 16.1% 11.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Montagnese 3.4% 6.0% 6.5% 14.2% 14.9% 18.7% 16.7% 10.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Arthur Libby 6.0% 7.5% 10.6% 15.4% 17.9% 17.2% 13.3% 7.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Sean Kilcullen 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 4.2% 4.8% 8.0% 10.9% 15.9% 23.8% 20.0% 7.9%
Alex Dzinbal 5.7% 6.2% 9.7% 14.3% 17.0% 16.4% 15.0% 9.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Houchois 1.3% 1.7% 3.8% 5.0% 6.2% 11.5% 13.3% 17.6% 18.1% 13.3% 6.8% 1.4%
Henry Sanders 1.3% 0.7% 1.6% 2.1% 5.2% 7.0% 10.9% 15.7% 21.5% 20.8% 10.6% 2.6%
Bryn Clark 1.6% 1.5% 3.7% 4.0% 6.7% 9.5% 14.3% 19.2% 17.4% 14.3% 6.4% 1.4%
Emily Hann 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 3.1% 4.6% 7.2% 12.4% 31.6% 36.3%
Matthew Morris 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 4.1% 6.2% 10.1% 23.5% 50.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.