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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+0.88vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14-0.16vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.69+1.24vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.87-0.08vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.01+3.91vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.51-1.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-1.53+2.55vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.47-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.31-1.26vs Predicted
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11Colgate University0.43-3.41vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo-1.24-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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2.88Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
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2.84Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.24Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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4.92SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
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9.91Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.48Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Military Academy-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.32Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.59Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 34.5% | 27.8% | 21.0% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 21.9% | 25.1% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 23.4% | 22.7% | 22.3% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 25.3% | 22.9% |
| Michael Montagnese | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 24.6% | 40.7% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 22.0% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 21.9% | 14.4% | 5.8% |
| Bryn Clark | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Emily Hann | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 28.1% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.