Race 4B

north-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Clark Uhl 22.7% 21.2% 23.9% 16.7% 9.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Miller 34.0% 28.9% 18.5% 11.1% 5.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 23.1% 24.0% 21.6% 15.7% 9.7% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Dzinbal 4.6% 6.4% 8.8% 15.2% 17.1% 19.8% 15.1% 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Montagnese 4.1% 6.1% 6.8% 13.4% 17.3% 18.2% 15.8% 11.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Houchois 1.6% 1.5% 3.2% 3.8% 7.7% 10.8% 16.2% 21.9% 18.9% 9.2% 4.3% 0.9%
Arthur Libby 6.9% 8.5% 11.4% 15.7% 18.6% 18.0% 11.7% 6.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryn Clark 1.2% 1.7% 3.4% 4.7% 6.9% 10.4% 17.6% 19.5% 18.4% 10.1% 4.6% 1.5%
Sean Kilcullen 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 3.3% 5.6% 10.5% 14.5% 21.9% 22.3% 13.6% 4.3%
Emily Hann 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.7% 3.0% 3.7% 5.8% 11.6% 16.9% 28.1% 27.8%
John Colby 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 3.9% 7.6% 12.1% 23.1% 24.0% 22.9%
Matthew Morris 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 2.0% 2.6% 4.7% 6.1% 15.0% 24.7% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.