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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.29vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+0.87vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14-0.16vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.51+1.61vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.69+0.32vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.55-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.31+1.93vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.68-0.82vs Predicted
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9Colgate University0.43-1.41vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.02-1.56vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo-1.24-0.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-1.53-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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2.87Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
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2.84Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.61Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
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5.32Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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5.59SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.18Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.59Colgate University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.44Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Military Academy-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 34.9% | 28.7% | 19.1% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 22.1% | 24.5% | 22.3% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 23.7% | 22.4% | 22.1% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Montagnese | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Adam | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 7.8% |
| Calvin Tong | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Bryn Clark | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 14.2% | 4.0% |
| Emily Hann | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 29.4% | 36.5% |
| Matthew Morris | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 24.8% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.