Race 6B

north-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Clark Uhl 21.9% 22.5% 24.0% 16.0% 10.0% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Miller 35.1% 27.3% 20.4% 11.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andreas Adam 4.4% 6.3% 8.8% 12.6% 15.0% 16.7% 17.4% 10.8% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 22.7% 26.0% 20.6% 14.6% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Montagnese 4.5% 5.3% 7.1% 12.7% 16.0% 17.3% 16.1% 10.3% 7.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Bryn Clark 1.5% 1.3% 2.6% 5.4% 7.3% 8.5% 12.8% 17.1% 19.0% 14.8% 8.2% 1.5%
Alex Dzinbal 6.2% 6.5% 10.5% 14.8% 16.0% 18.5% 12.2% 9.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Henry Sanders 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 3.4% 4.8% 6.8% 10.5% 14.2% 18.2% 22.3% 11.9% 3.8%
Calvin Tong 1.7% 1.9% 2.5% 5.2% 10.4% 14.0% 17.0% 18.0% 15.9% 9.2% 3.3% 0.9%
Emily Hann 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 1.2% 1.5% 3.4% 2.5% 3.9% 8.0% 14.2% 30.7% 34.0%
Matthew Morris 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 2.3% 3.0% 5.3% 10.6% 23.2% 51.6%
Sean Kilcullen 0.5% 1.2% 0.7% 2.6% 3.7% 4.6% 5.7% 12.2% 17.1% 22.3% 21.3% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.