Race 1A

richard-ross-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Aaron Klein 23.0% 17.2% 16.8% 14.3% 12.3% 8.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Nicholas Giacobbe 16.4% 19.1% 15.0% 14.2% 14.5% 10.4% 6.6% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew Savage 22.8% 18.4% 17.4% 16.4% 11.6% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
James Woodwell 13.0% 15.3% 14.3% 17.5% 13.7% 11.8% 9.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Samuel Wright 10.6% 9.3% 11.7% 12.3% 14.4% 16.2% 12.8% 9.0% 3.1% 0.6%
Hanna Desilets 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 3.7% 3.5% 5.5% 13.1% 22.4% 46.4%
Steven Honig 4.4% 6.7% 8.8% 8.7% 9.9% 16.0% 19.4% 15.5% 8.5% 2.1%
Ian Campbell 5.6% 9.1% 9.3% 9.8% 12.2% 13.3% 17.8% 15.3% 5.5% 2.1%
Caroline Edwards 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.3% 3.5% 5.3% 8.0% 16.2% 30.2% 30.0%
Isabel Rombult 1.6% 2.1% 3.7% 3.0% 4.2% 7.2% 11.5% 20.5% 27.6% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.