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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.25+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut2.59+0.53vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.26-0.07vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.07+1.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-1.49vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.20-0.23vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.38-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Bowdoin College3.250.5%1st Place
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2.53University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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2.93Tufts University2.260.2%1st Place
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5.54Bates College0.070.0%1st Place
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3.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.1%1st Place
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5.77Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.85McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Hatch | 47.6% | 27.9% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Giuliano | 23.9% | 27.6% | 26.7% | 15.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Slate | 15.8% | 23.9% | 25.4% | 23.5% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sneath | 0.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 27.4% | 32.3% | 24.3% |
| Guttorm Straume | 9.4% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 32.0% | 15.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Brennan Ashton | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 23.7% | 29.6% | 34.5% |
| Stephanie Clement | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 17.8% | 29.9% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.