Race 11A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Humberto Porrata 10.2% 9.1% 10.7% 9.3% 10.0% 9.4% 9.1% 10.2% 7.3% 7.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.5%
Cole Schweda 15.3% 16.1% 12.7% 12.0% 10.2% 10.2% 7.3% 7.0% 3.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Brent Penwarden 9.6% 9.4% 9.4% 10.3% 11.2% 9.2% 9.3% 9.4% 8.5% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9%
David Webb 3.8% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 5.2% 5.5% 7.8% 8.0% 9.8% 11.6% 13.7% 13.6% 8.3%
Hilton Kamps 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.0% 9.8% 8.2% 9.3% 10.0% 9.4% 10.2% 7.8% 6.5% 2.1%
Kay Brunsvold 15.7% 14.3% 13.1% 13.1% 10.0% 8.2% 8.6% 6.4% 5.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Jackson McGeough 2.0% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 3.4% 5.1% 6.8% 8.6% 13.8% 23.9% 22.9%
Efe Guder 11.8% 10.8% 11.4% 10.4% 9.9% 10.2% 9.1% 8.2% 8.2% 4.9% 3.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Oliver West 3.4% 4.0% 3.9% 4.9% 4.2% 5.1% 6.2% 6.7% 8.2% 10.7% 15.2% 17.4% 10.1%
Brendan Smucker 6.4% 8.5% 8.1% 9.2% 7.3% 10.5% 10.1% 8.5% 9.5% 9.0% 7.7% 4.0% 1.2%
Suhas Medidi 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 5.3% 9.3% 17.1% 49.5%
Fiona Froelich 8.3% 7.3% 8.8% 8.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.5% 8.8% 9.2% 9.0% 7.2% 3.6% 1.4%
Shay Bridge 6.1% 6.2% 7.1% 7.0% 8.1% 8.8% 7.5% 8.8% 10.4% 10.8% 9.6% 7.0% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.