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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+2.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.33+1.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.57+0.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.72+0.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.22+0.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.38-0.53vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.11-2.94vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.20+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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3.68Tufts University1.330.2%1st Place
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3.27Tufts University1.570.2%1st Place
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4.8Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University0.220.1%1st Place
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5.47Northeastern University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.06Brown University1.110.1%1st Place
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8.19University of New Hampshire-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 23.6% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 16.3% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Savage | 21.8% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wright | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Steven Honig | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Ian Campbell | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| James Woodwell | 12.2% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Edwards | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 28.4% | 29.8% |
| Hanna Desilets | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 13.5% | 22.4% | 48.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 22.0% | 28.7% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.