Race 4A

richard-ross-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Savage 23.7% 20.9% 17.7% 13.0% 10.1% 6.9% 5.4% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 19.9% 19.7% 16.6% 15.3% 11.8% 9.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Nicholas Giacobbe 16.9% 16.6% 16.1% 14.9% 14.1% 11.7% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
James Woodwell 13.1% 14.4% 15.8% 15.4% 14.6% 13.0% 8.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Ian Campbell 8.0% 7.2% 8.6% 10.5% 10.8% 15.0% 18.4% 13.5% 6.3% 1.7%
Samuel Wright 10.2% 10.4% 10.8% 12.5% 16.0% 13.9% 12.9% 9.2% 3.1% 1.0%
Steven Honig 4.4% 6.6% 7.8% 10.2% 11.0% 15.7% 17.6% 15.8% 8.5% 2.4%
Hanna Desilets 0.6% 0.8% 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.8% 6.8% 12.9% 23.7% 45.0%
Isabel Rombult 1.8% 2.3% 3.4% 2.8% 4.3% 6.2% 11.0% 23.6% 26.0% 18.6%
Caroline Edwards 1.4% 1.1% 1.3% 3.0% 4.2% 4.9% 8.4% 14.7% 30.1% 30.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.