Race 5A

richard-ross-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Savage 24.4% 19.7% 17.5% 12.8% 12.5% 6.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Aaron Klein 20.0% 19.2% 18.0% 14.9% 11.0% 9.2% 5.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Giacobbe 17.2% 15.7% 16.0% 15.2% 15.5% 10.1% 6.1% 3.8% 0.2% 0.2%
James Woodwell 13.0% 15.0% 14.8% 15.7% 15.1% 12.5% 8.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Hanna Desilets 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 4.8% 6.2% 11.7% 22.9% 45.3%
Samuel Wright 10.6% 10.3% 10.4% 13.0% 14.5% 13.7% 13.5% 9.4% 3.8% 0.8%
Ian Campbell 5.5% 8.3% 9.0% 9.7% 11.8% 18.7% 16.0% 13.5% 5.6% 1.9%
Steven Honig 4.9% 7.1% 7.4% 10.0% 10.5% 13.5% 19.0% 16.7% 8.4% 2.5%
Caroline Edwards 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 5.1% 7.6% 15.5% 31.5% 30.1%
Isabel Rombult 1.6% 2.0% 3.5% 4.0% 3.4% 6.2% 12.8% 22.0% 25.5% 19.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.