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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.70+3.33vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.71+2.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.20+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.16+2.00vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51-0.06vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39-0.64vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-1.24vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University0.55+1.60vs Predicted
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10Amherst College0.89-0.23vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.56-3.36vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.24-0.53vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.11-1.63vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.95vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.09-3.99vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.07-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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4.39Connecticut College2.710.2%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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4.94Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.36Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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10.6Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.77Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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7.64McGill University1.560.1%1st Place
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11.47Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.37Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.05Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.01Maine Maritime Academy0.090.0%1st Place
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14.39Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Andersen | 17.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 17.5% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Renee Torrie | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 7.1% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 11.8% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 19.7% |
| John Tersoni | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 14.0% | 9.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.