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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut2.59+0.57vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.07+2.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.26-0.98vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.25-3.09vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.20-0.25vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.38-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.1%1st Place
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2.57University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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5.46Bates College0.070.0%1st Place
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3.02Tufts University2.260.2%1st Place
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1.91Bowdoin College3.250.4%1st Place
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5.75Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.85McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guttorm Straume | 11.2% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 30.9% | 15.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| John Giuliano | 23.2% | 27.2% | 26.0% | 17.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sneath | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 28.4% | 30.3% | 24.7% |
| Daniel Slate | 15.5% | 19.9% | 27.7% | 24.3% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| D.J. Hatch | 44.5% | 30.1% | 17.3% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brennan Ashton | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 21.7% | 32.3% | 32.7% |
| Stephanie Clement | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 17.7% | 28.2% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.