Race 12A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 14.2% 14.8% 13.6% 12.3% 11.2% 9.0% 8.6% 6.0% 4.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Shay Bridge 5.4% 6.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.2% 7.3% 9.6% 8.3% 9.9% 11.4% 9.9% 7.0% 3.0%
Brent Penwarden 10.3% 10.9% 10.1% 10.4% 9.8% 9.0% 9.8% 8.8% 8.0% 5.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.5%
Jackson McGeough 1.9% 2.2% 1.8% 3.2% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 4.9% 7.7% 9.1% 12.8% 22.4% 22.4%
Humberto Porrata 9.2% 9.6% 9.6% 10.4% 8.1% 11.3% 9.4% 9.1% 8.2% 8.2% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Efe Guder 12.2% 9.3% 10.8% 10.5% 11.8% 9.3% 8.4% 9.7% 7.4% 5.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
David Webb 4.5% 4.7% 4.7% 4.4% 5.5% 7.6% 7.1% 8.2% 8.5% 10.3% 13.9% 14.0% 6.7%
Kay Brunsvold 16.7% 14.0% 12.5% 12.3% 10.9% 9.0% 7.5% 6.1% 5.5% 2.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Hilton Kamps 6.8% 7.2% 8.2% 6.9% 8.3% 8.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 10.6% 9.4% 6.2% 2.1%
Brendan Smucker 6.5% 7.0% 8.8% 8.5% 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 11.1% 8.9% 9.5% 7.0% 4.5% 2.1%
Fiona Froelich 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 9.2% 8.7% 10.0% 8.8% 9.4% 9.2% 6.2% 4.5% 1.3%
Oliver West 3.2% 4.2% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.8% 6.9% 8.4% 10.2% 15.0% 17.1% 11.5%
Suhas Medidi 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 4.1% 5.1% 9.6% 17.5% 48.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.