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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+4.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.16+3.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.20+2.80vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.71+0.47vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.70-0.55vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.56+1.78vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.51-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-1.19vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.24+2.42vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.09+1.95vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University0.55-0.42vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.93vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.11-0.63vs Predicted
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14Amherst College0.89-4.39vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.81vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.07-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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5.8Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.47Connecticut College2.710.2%1st Place
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4.45Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.78McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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5.04Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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11.42Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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11.95Maine Maritime Academy0.090.0%1st Place
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10.58Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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12.37Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.61Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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13.19Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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14.41Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 15.5% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 15.2% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| John Tersoni | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 8.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 12.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| David Tampellini | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 24.2% | 20.6% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.