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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+4.14vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.71+2.22vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+1.75vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70+0.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.20-0.32vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.89+2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.16-3.28vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.11+1.87vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University0.55-0.69vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.56-4.31vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.24-1.80vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.07-1.44vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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4.22Connecticut College2.710.2%1st Place
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4.75Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.35Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.33Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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11.87Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.31Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.69McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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11.2Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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13.56Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.44Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 15.5% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 16.7% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 22.1% | 13.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Renee Torrie | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 7.6% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 49.4% |
| David Tampellini | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 25.0% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.