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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.71+3.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+2.14vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.89+6.08vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97-0.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39+0.09vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11+5.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.30vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.20-2.49vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.56-1.82vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University0.55+0.20vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College0.24-0.07vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.83-5.29vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.37vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.40-1.61vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.59-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Connecticut College2.710.2%1st Place
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4.14Brown University2.690.2%1st Place
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9.08Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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3.6Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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11.73Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.18McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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10.2Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.93Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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12.63Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.39Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Florio | 16.0% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 15.4% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 21.8% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 16.6% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Keller | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 10.2% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 32.7% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 28.5% |
| Collin Benzoni | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.