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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+3.93vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.56+5.08vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+3.46vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.89+5.20vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97-1.32vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.55+4.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.20-1.50vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.71-3.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.34vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.69-5.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.59-1.02vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.24-0.85vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.44vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.40-1.63vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.11-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.08McGill University1.560.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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9.2Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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3.68Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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10.17Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.23Connecticut College2.710.2%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.3Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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11.15Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.56Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.37Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.72Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 19.3% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 17.2% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 14.3% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Benzoni | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 10.2% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 30.2% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 27.7% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.