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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+2.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+3.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+1.96vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.56+3.24vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.59+4.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69-1.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.31vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University0.55+2.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83-2.55vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.71-5.70vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College0.24-0.06vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.65vs Predicted
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13Amherst College0.89-3.68vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.11-2.27vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.40-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.24McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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4.24Brown University2.690.2%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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10.11Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.3Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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10.94Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.65Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.32Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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11.73Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.36Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 22.1% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 8.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Collin Benzoni | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Franco Bilik | 15.1% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Walter Florio | 15.0% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% |
| David Tampellini | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 21.1% | 31.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 16.7% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.