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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+4.42vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+1.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+1.17vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.71+0.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39+0.08vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.55+4.16vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.43+5.35vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.56-0.73vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.37vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.83-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.59-0.97vs Predicted
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12Amherst College0.89-2.63vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.24-1.88vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.40-1.59vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.11-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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3.52Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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4.17Brown University2.690.2%1st Place
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4.18Connecticut College2.710.2%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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10.16Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.35Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.27McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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9.37Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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11.12Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.41Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.73Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 20.5% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 16.5% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| David Tampellini | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 28.7% |
| Renee Torrie | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Collin Benzoni | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 11.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 28.5% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.